Rendimiento de índices pronósticos en infección asociada a Clostridium difficile grave. Análisis retrospectivo en un hospital universitario
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2014
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es
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Sociedad Chilena de Infectología
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Licencia CC
Licencia CC
Resumen
Introducción: Por consenso, la infección asociada a Clostridium difficile (IACD) grave es aquella que resulta en hospitalización en unidad de cuidados intensivos, colectomía o muerte dentro de 30 días. Múltiples índices pronósticos (IP) intentan predecir estos eventos adversos. Objetivo: evaluar el rendimiento de cuatro IP en la predicción de IACD grave. Metodología: pacientes hospitalizados ≥ 18 años con IACD fueron evaluados retrospectivamente. Se excluyeron pacientes con infección recurrente o cáncer hematológico. Se evaluaron cuatro IP: UPMC versión 1, Calgary versión 1, Hines VA y Calgary versión 2. Resultados: Siete de 81 pacientes (8,1%) presentaron una IACD grave. El valor predictor positivo (VPP) y valor predictor negativo (VPN) de los IP varió entre 20-75% y 91,3-95,7%, respectivamente. Sólo el índice de Hines VA tuvo un índice Kappa satisfactorio (0,74;IC 95% 0,46-1) con un VPP de 75% y un VPN de 95,7%. Sin embargo, por las variables incluidas en este IP, sólo pudo ser calculado en 32,6% de los pacientes. Conclusión: El índice de Hines VA presenta el mejor valor predictor y concordancia para descartar una IACD grave. Como otros IP, tiene la limitación de incluir variables difícilmente evaluables en todos los pacientes y tiende a sobreestimar un curso desfavorable.
Introduction: By consensus severe, Clostridium difficile-associated infection (CDAI) is one that results in hospitalization in ICU, colectomy or death within 30 days. Multiple prognostic indices (IP) attempt to predict these adverse events. Objective: To evaluate the performance of 4 PI in predicting severe CDI. Methods: Hospitalized patients ≥ 18 years old with ICD were retrospectively evaluated. Patients with recurrent infection or hematological cancer were excluded. Four PI were evaluated: UPMC version 1, Calgary version 1, Hines VA and Calgary version 2. Results: Seven of 81 patients (8.1%) met the definition of severe CDI. Positive predicted value (PPV) and negative predicted value (NPV) of PI ranged from 20-75% and 91.3-95.7%, respectively. Only Hines VA index had a satisfactory Kappa index (0.74; 95% CI 0.41-1) with a PPV of 75% and NPV of 95,7%. However, because of the variables included, this PI could be calculated only in 32.6% of patients. Conclusion: Hines VA index has the best predicted value and agreement to rule out a severe CDI. Like others PI it has the limitation of including difficult variables to assess in all patients and tends to overestimate an unfavorable course.
Introduction: By consensus severe, Clostridium difficile-associated infection (CDAI) is one that results in hospitalization in ICU, colectomy or death within 30 days. Multiple prognostic indices (IP) attempt to predict these adverse events. Objective: To evaluate the performance of 4 PI in predicting severe CDI. Methods: Hospitalized patients ≥ 18 years old with ICD were retrospectively evaluated. Patients with recurrent infection or hematological cancer were excluded. Four PI were evaluated: UPMC version 1, Calgary version 1, Hines VA and Calgary version 2. Results: Seven of 81 patients (8.1%) met the definition of severe CDI. Positive predicted value (PPV) and negative predicted value (NPV) of PI ranged from 20-75% and 91.3-95.7%, respectively. Only Hines VA index had a satisfactory Kappa index (0.74; 95% CI 0.41-1) with a PPV of 75% and NPV of 95,7%. However, because of the variables included, this PI could be calculated only in 32.6% of patients. Conclusion: Hines VA index has the best predicted value and agreement to rule out a severe CDI. Like others PI it has the limitation of including difficult variables to assess in all patients and tends to overestimate an unfavorable course.
Notas
Indexación: Scielo
Palabras clave
Infección asociada a Clostridium difficile, Colitis asociada a antimicrobianos, Indices pronósticos clínicos, Factores de riesgo, Clostridium difficile-associated infection, Antibiotics-associated colitis, Clinical prognostic rules, Risk factors
Citación
Rev. chil. infectol. vol.31 no.6 Santiago Dec. 2014